| An epidemic is generally a widespread disease that affects many individuals
in a population. An epidemic may be restricted to one locale or may even be global (pandemic). An outbreak of a disease is defined as being epidemic, however, not by how many members or what
proportion of the population it infects but by how fast it is
growing. When each infected individual is infecting more than one other individual, so that the number of infected individuals is
growing exponentially, the disease is in an epidemic state. Thus even if the
number of people affected is small, the phenomenon may still be called an epidemic, although for small epidemics the term
"outbreak" is more often used.
For an epidemic state:

Where R0 is the basic reproduction
number of the infection and S is the proportion of the population who are susceptible to the infection. This is merely a mathematical formalisation of the rule stated above.
Some examples of historical epidemics include the Black Death, or bubonic plague, of Mediaeval
Europe, the influenza epidemic
concurring with the end of World War I, and the current AIDS epidemic.
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